Leaders of the Group of Seven advanced economies said Thursday
they are worried growing economic risks — from low oil prices to
sluggish Chinese demand — could continue to drag down the global economy
for years to come. But officials gathered at the two-day summit in
Japan are facing more promising prospects at home as consumer demand
strengthens and markets improve in some of the countries.
The annual G-7 summit brings together Japan, the United
States, Britain, Canada, France, Germany and Italy, along with the
European Union’s council president.
While leaders voiced concerns emerging economies are in a
severe situation, “there were views that the current economic situation
is not a crisis,” Hiroshige Seko, Japan’s deputy chief cabinet
secretary, told reporters Thursday.
The meeting in Ise-Shima arrives as weaker crude oil prices,
China’s economic slowdown and chronic weakness in advanced economies
continue to drag down this year’s growth outlook. The International
Monetary Fund in April slashed its 2016 forecast
for the fourth time in the past year. The Washington-based lender said
it expected annualized global growth of 3.2 percent, down from the 3.4
percent it predicted in January.
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The United States was a relative bright spot in the IMF’s
World Economic Outlook report last month. America is also expected to
grow faster than any other G-7 member this year.
A stronger housing market and improving government finances
are expected to boost domestic demand, which in turn will offset the
drag on net exports from a strong U.S. dollar and weaker manufacturing
activity, the IMF said in its report. The U.S. economy is expected to hold flat this year at 2.4 percent and grow by 2.5 percent in 2017.
France and Germany could see flat growth this year but slight gains
in 2017 while Canada and Italy and projected to experience growth both
this year and next, according to the IMF forecast.
The Japanese economy could see the least amount of growth
among its G-7 peers due to a sharp drop in private consumption and weak
inflation. The IMF forecast Japan’s economy to grow by 0.5 percent in
2016 before dropping by 0.1 percent in 2017 as a scheduled rise in the
consumption tax rate takes effect.
With
the American and Japanese economies seen moving in different directions
at the Group of Seven meeting this week, U.S. President Barack Obama
walks with Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on the Ujibashi bridge near
the Ise-Jingu Shrine in Ise, Japan, May 26, 2016.
Photo: Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who took office in 2012, has
attempted to boost Japan’s economy in part by promoting the country’s
infrastructure technology around the world, particularly coal and
gas-fired power plants and bullet trains. Both in the G-7 meetings this
week in Japan and related “outreach” sessions on the summit’s sidelines,
the agenda includes “quality infrastructure investment,” the Associated
Press reported.
The British economy is expected to experience slower growth
this year, apart from the rising uncertainty related to Britain’s
possible exit from the European Union. British voters are facing a June
23 referendum on whether to stay or exit the 28-member bloc, a move that
pro-Brexit proponents concede could impact economic growth.
The British economy is expected to grow just 1.9 percent
this year — down from 2.2 percent in 2015 — amid weaker activity in the
services, manufacturing and construction sectors.
IMF officials said a Brexit would cause “severe regional and
global damage” and create an “extended period of heightened
uncertainty” as prolonged negotiations between the U.K. and Europe
“weigh heavily” on confidence and investment, IMF said. But other
economists have been more cautious in their predictions, arguing it’s
difficult to foresee the consequences of what will likely be a yearslong
divorce.
In
this handout image provided by Foreign Ministry of Japan, (L to R)
European Council President Donald Tusk, Italian Prime Minister Matteo
Renzi, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, U.S. President Barack Obama,
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, French President Francois Hollande,
British Prime Minister David Cameron, Canadian Prime Minister Justin
Trudeau and European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker in
Kashikojima, Japan, May 26, 2016.
Photo: Foreign Ministry of Japan via Getty Images
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